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LRT3 set to lift property values, but affordability risks loom: Expert

The Shah Alam property market’s evolution along the LRT3 corridor has unfolded in three phases.

PETALING JAYA: The LRT3 line is expected to reshape the Klang Valley’s property market, lifting values and reshuffling rental demand along its corridor.

Yet the real test ahead lies not in capital appreciation, but in affordability pressures and potential displacement in rapidly intensifying station areas, an expert said.

READ MORE: LRT3 faces challenge in car-dependent Shah Alam: Expert

Universiti Teknologi Malaysia property economics and finance associate professor Dr Muhammad Najib Razali said the rail line would create a clear “transport accessibility premium”, where improved connectivity translates directly into higher land values and stronger rental demand.

“This aligns with established urban land theories which show that households and businesses are willing to pay more to reduce travel time and transport costs.”

He said the Shah Alam property market’s evolution along the LRT3 corridor has unfolded in three phases.

The first, between 2013 and 2017, was the anticipation phase following the project’s announcement when Glenmarie, Stadium Shah Alam, i-City/Seksyen 7 and Bukit Raja saw rising investor interest and selective price appreciation driven by expectations of future connectivity.

The second phase, from 2018 to 2022, was marked by market correction and external shocks. Tighter loan rules, an oversupply of high-rise units, construction reviews and the Covid-19 pandemic all dampened sentiment.

Landed homes stayed relatively resilient on steady end-user demand, while condominiums and serviced apartments saw slower growth.

The third phase, from 2023 to mid-2026, reflects recovery and a shift into realisation.

With stations now visible and the line nearing full operation, pricing has moved from speculation to actual accessibility value. Indicative data shows Shah Alam’s median residential price at about RM540,000 and RM387 per sq ft, although values vary by location, tenure and station proximity.

On speculation along the corridor, Muhammad Najib said current activity is better described as renewed interest rather than overheating. He said speculation would involve sharp price spikes, rapid resales and strong investor dominance – conditions not widely seen in Shah Alam.

He added that the strongest gains likely occurred during the 2013–2017 anticipation phase, while the current period is more utilitydriven as accessibility becomes reality.

Hotspots include Glenmarie, Stadium Shah Alam, Dato’ Menteri, UiTM Shah Alam, Seksyen 7/iCity, Bukit Raja and selected Klang-adjacent stations, with rental demand strongest near universities, commercial hubs and mixed-use developments. However, he stressed that proximity alone is not enough.

“Walkability, feeder bus connectivity and station access determine whether a property truly captures the rail premium.”

On transit-oriented development (TOD), he cautioned that while infrastructure projects lift surrounding land values, gains often accrue to landowners and investors rather than lower- and middle-income groups without safeguards.

He added that using Prasarana-owned land and underutilised park-and-ride sites for TOD housing was positive for supply, but affordability must go beyond launch prices.

“Affordability must include total housing cost – maintenance fees, commuting costs and eligibility constraints – not just purchase price.”

He also warned of transit-induced gentrification, where rising accessibility pushes up rents and displaces lower-income residents. He said international cases such as Hong Kong’s railproperty integration model and London’s Crossrail/Elizabeth Line show rail investment boosts land values but can intensify affordability pressures without intervention.

TOD effects on rental markets, he said, would be mixed – improving access to jobs and services while pushing up rents for residential and commercial properties.

Lower-income households and small businesses are particularly vulnerable.

He pointed to the divergence in Shah Alam’s housing market, with landed homes remaining resilient due to limited supply, while high-rise segments are more sensitive but may benefit from rail-driven demand.

To ensure inclusive outcomes, he recommended resale restrictions for affordable units, income eligibility controls, limits on rental conversion, inclusionary zoning and land value capture mechanisms to recycle gains into public infrastructure.

He also stressed that reductions in park-andride facilities must be matched with feeder buses, cycling lanes and safe pedestrian access. Muhammad Najib called for continuous monitoring of station-area rents, prices, vacancy rates and displacement trends to enable early policy intervention.

“The success of LRT3 TOD should not be measured solely by rising property values.

“It is whether the system improves public transport use, maintains affordability and ensures existing communities are not displaced by the very development meant to benefit them.” – by Kirtinee Ramesh

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