NEW YORK: Crude oil prices took a breath on Tuesday (Nov 22) after rallying for two sessions, with investors cautious ahead of Sunday’s scheduled Opec+ meeting when the producer group may discuss deepening supply cuts due to slowing global economic growth.
Brent crude futures settled 13 cents higher at US$82.45 (RM383.47) a barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures eased six cents lower at US$77.77 (RM361.70).
Prices pared losses late, with one more session before the US Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday, which typically yields lower trading volumes in oil.
“Going into the long weekend the market would rather be a little bit long than short,” said Andrew Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates.
On Monday, both contracts climbed about 2% after three Opec+ sources told Reuters the group, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) and allied producers, was set to consider additional oil supply cuts when it meets on Nov 26.
Opec+ is likely to extend or even deepen oil supply cuts into next year, eight analysts have predicted.
“We see some scope for the group to do a deeper reduction, but we would anticipate that Saudi Arabia would seek additional barrels from other members to share the burden of the adjustment,” said RBC Capital analyst Helima Croft.
Even if the Opec+ nations extend their cuts into next year, the global oil market will see a slight supply surplus in 2024, the head of the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) oil markets and industry division told Reuters on Tuesday.
Currently though, the oil market is in a deficit with stocks declining “at a fast rate”, Toril Bosoni said on the sidelines of a conference in Oslo.
Market participants awaited industry data later on Tuesday on Opec crude supplies. Analysts polled by Reuters expected inventory reports this week to show crude stockpiles rising and fuel stockpiles dropping.
Oil has fallen about 16% since late September as crude output in the US, the world’s top producer, held at record highs, while the market was concerned about demand growth and economic slowdown.
Market participants kept an eye on a development in the Gulf of Mexico, as US officials said seven energy companies have been impacted by an oil discharge near Main Pass Oil Gathering Co’s pipeline system that is estimated to have released more than a million gallons of crude oil. – Reuters
