Military aid to Ukraine plummeted in late 2025 as European pledges slowed, risking the lowest annual support since Russia’s full-scale invasion began.
PARIS: Military aid commitments to Ukraine fell sharply in the second half of 2025.
New data from Germany’s Kiel Institute shows European contributions failed to compensate for the halt in United States support.
After US President Donald Trump wound down American aid early in the year, Europe pledged a record nearly EUR 20 billion between March and June.
That surge more than offset the overall shortfall for that period.
However, European pledges slumped to fewer than EUR 8 billion from July through October.
This resulted in the second-lowest four-month aid total since Russia’s full-scale invasion in 2022.
Total committed aid for the first ten months of 2025 stands at EUR 32.5 billion.
Maintaining the 2022-2024 annual average of EUR 41.6 billion would require an additional EUR 9.1 billion before year-end.
Allies would need to send another EUR 5.1 billion to avoid setting a new annual low below the 2022 record of EUR 37.6 billion.
“Based on the data available through October, Europe has not been able to sustain the momentum of the first half of 2025,” said Professor Christoph Trebesch, head of the Ukraine Support Tracker.
“If this slower pace continues in the remaining months, 2025 will become the year with the lowest level of new aid allocations ever for Ukraine,” he added.
The United States previously contributed an annual average of EUR 21.4 billion from 2022 to 2024.
This highlights the immense scale of the task facing Europe and other allies.
France, Germany and the United Kingdom substantially increased their allocations this year.
European leaders are now exploring ways to fund a major loan for Kyiv.
Current proposals suggest the loan would be repaid using any future Russian reparations to Ukraine.
The European Union outlined a plan on Wednesday to use frozen Russian assets to help fund Ukraine.
The proposal aims to provide Kyiv with EUR 90 billion over the next two years.
Belgium, home to the Euroclear depository which holds most frozen Russian assets, has so far rejected the plan.
The Belgian government cited potential legal repercussions for its opposition.
