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Rethinking Asia’s economic resilience amid wars

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For Asean, this presents an opportunity to deepen cooperation on agricultural innovation, financing mechanisms for food systems and the strategic management of resources.

THE conflict in the Middle East may seem geographically distant from Southeast Asia but its economic effects are anything but remote.

As Malaysia assesses the potential impact on its national food sector, the situation underscores a broader reality of today’s global economy: geopolitical tensions can quickly ripple through energy markets, supply chains and ultimately food prices.

For economies across Asia that remain deeply integrated into global trade flows, shocks thousands of kilometres away can still end up affecting the cost of putting food on the table. Malaysia’s response highlights an important reality about the world we now live in: economic shocks rarely stay confined to the region where they originate.

Even when supply chains appear geographically diversified, global energy volatility quickly feeds into production costs, fertiliser prices, transport and ultimately the price of food.

Oil and gas remain a ubiquitous and fundamental energy source that drives most economies despite efforts to increase renewable energy sources. This is a commodity which is traded in US dollars and creates significant trade flows, risks of imported inflation and susceptibility to sanctions.

If anything, this should be added motivation for Asian economies to ramp up energy security from locally sourced clean or renewable energy.

The low-income levels and high inequality that still persist in many Asian economies that are an integral part of the global supply chain, leave more of our peoples disproportionately affected by rising food prices.

Subsidising these costs in turn will create fiscal pressures on governments, especially when debt to GDP levels is already high. But beyond the immediate concern, this moment also raises a broader question for Asia.

For decades, much of the region’s development model has relied on open global trade flows and external stability. That model has delivered growth but it also means that disruptions elsewhere can ripple through Asian economies in ways that are increasingly difficult to predict.

What we need more of today is a wider shift in how countries think about economic resilience. Food and energy security as well as financial stability are no longer separate policy conversations; they are interconnected and they require stronger regional thinking.

For Asean, this presents an opportunity to deepen cooperation on agricultural innovation, financing mechanisms for food systems and the strategic management of resources.

The region has the land, talent, technology and increasingly the capital to strengthen its own food ecosystem. What is needed now is greater coordination and a shared commitment to invest in long-term resilience rather than simply reacting to external shocks.

Ultimately, Asia does not need to turn away from global markets but it does need to become more confident in building the systems that protect its own stability.

The lesson from today’s uncertainty is clear: resilience will come not only from diversification abroad but from stronger foundations at home.

Sharath Martin is a senior policy and insights consultant for ACCA Asia Pacific. Comments: [email protected]

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